Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 7.066295 7.818387 8.655439 9.663768 10.855840 12.233493 13.965789
2025-01-26 5.876320 6.863350 8.057422 9.638309 11.724428 14.457753 18.447540
2025-02-02 5.485211 6.664750 8.183677 10.350337 13.485514 18.085126 25.862964
2025-02-09 5.121823 6.408554 8.145797 10.774087 14.879443 21.534964 34.501956
2025-02-16 4.728351 6.044459 7.884839 10.797495 15.632892 24.158679 43.057738
2025-02-23 4.485491 5.851175 7.826015 11.092830 16.863045 27.993415 56.653807
2025-03-02 4.114443 5.432642 7.377934 10.685174 16.762207 29.206432 64.885919
2025-03-09 3.831691 5.116732 7.049558 10.422446 16.863381 30.872428 75.964660
2025-03-16 3.619003 4.886577 6.829392 10.309735 17.224059 33.259762 92.181257
2025-03-23 3.522896 4.824246 6.867547 10.655141 18.589226 38.719157 129.438080
2025-03-30 3.307046 4.559314 6.548577 10.298253 18.364240 39.809538 148.434261
2025-04-06 3.095417 4.288107 6.198573 9.843472 17.837708 39.849812 162.199754
2025-04-13 2.912209 4.064601 5.934705 9.571228 17.798714 41.795179 199.012717
2025-04-20 2.782499 3.921368 5.801134 9.549522 18.392591 46.351325 284.018828
2025-04-27 2.773519 3.972733 6.009725 10.251893 21.036331 60.807438 702.305410
2025-05-04 2.721618 3.947676 6.077491 10.669653 23.092063 75.743215 2135.154064
2025-05-11 2.623194 3.836147 5.974397 10.692726 24.013041 86.560589 7586.184490
2025-05-18 2.564779 3.789101 5.987540 10.983810 25.899670 106.781376 NaN
2025-05-25 2.432862 3.605603 5.723577 10.582009 25.350327 109.460563 NaN
2025-06-01 2.326596 3.462007 5.527661 10.322999 25.244686 116.009635 NaN
2025-06-08 2.243945 3.356037 5.398179 10.211869 25.652742 128.349829 NaN
2025-06-15 2.212859 3.340293 5.446143 10.552403 27.904949 166.537861 NaN
2025-06-22 2.116458 3.201426 5.235761 10.200548 27.300587 170.287698 NaN